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June 18, 2026

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NMDC
Metals & Minings
Success
VRZ High Intraday Jun 18, 2026
NMDC Price Action Study | VRZ High Breakout Failure Creates Intraday Short Opportunity
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NMDC Price Action Study | VRZ High Breakout Failure Creates Intraday Short Opportunity

Stock Name: NMDC Ltd (NMDC)

Sector: Metals & Mining

Trade Type: Intraday

VRZ Marking Time Frame: 30 Minutes

Trading Time Frame: 5 Minutes

Setup Type: Breakout Failure (BOF) at VRZ High

Zone: VRZ High – ₹88.75

BOF Sequence: Breakout, Rejection, and Reversal

NMDC approached the previously identified VRZ High at ₹88.75 and initially traded above the resistance zone, creating the appearance of a genuine bullish breakout.

At first glance, the move suggested that buyers had gained control and that the stock was preparing for further upside. The breakout attracted momentum traders and encouraged participants to anticipate a continuation rally above the resistance zone.

However, the market failed to accept prices above the VRZ.

Instead of sustaining at higher levels, selling pressure emerged almost immediately near the breakout area. Price gradually slipped back below ₹88.75 and started establishing acceptance beneath the VRZ High.

This transition confirmed a classic Breakout Failure (BOF).

As the breakout failed, breakout buyers started losing conviction and began exiting their positions. At the same time, fresh sellers recognized the rejection of higher prices and initiated short positions. The combination of long unwinding and new selling participation created a steady intraday decline.

The price action once again demonstrated an important BOF principle: when the market rejects higher prices after a breakout, trapped buyers often become the fuel for the downside move.

BOF and Market Participant Behaviour

Many traders assumed:


  • The breakout above resistance was genuine.
  • Buyers were firmly in control.
  • Higher prices were inevitable.

The market disagreed.

When price moved back below ₹88.75:


  • Breakout buyers started questioning their positions.
  • Early longs rushed to protect capital.
  • Sellers recognized weakness and became aggressive.
  • Momentum gradually shifted in favor of the bears.

This transition from optimism to uncertainty became the fuel for the downside move.

Strategic Insights from the Trade

1. A Breakout Requires Acceptance

Trading above resistance is not enough. The market must sustain above that level.


2. Rejection at the VRZ Is Valuable Information

The quick move back below ₹88.75 revealed aggressive selling interest and lack of buyer commitment.


3. Failed Breakouts Often Accelerate

Trapped buyers and fresh sellers frequently create sharp downside moves.


4. Confirmation Beats Prediction

Waiting for BOF confirmation provided a significantly higher-probability short setup.

Trade Structure

Entry: Short position after confirmation that price moved back below and sustained beneath the VRZ High.

Stop Loss: Above the BOF rejection candle high.

Outcome: 0.94% Move | 1:2 Risk-Reward

BOF Status: ✅ Successful

BOF Scanner App identified this setup at 09:30 am

NIFTY FIN SERVICE
Index
Failure
VRZ High Intraday Jun 18, 2026
NIFTY Financial Services Index Analysis | Potential BOF Setup Failed to Confirm
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NIFTY Financial Services Index Analysis | Potential BOF Setup Failed to Confirm

Stock Name: Nifty Financial Services Index (FINNIFTY)

Sector: Index

Trade Type: Intraday

VRZ Marking Time Frame: 30 Minutes

Trading Time Frame: 5 Minutes

Setup Type: Potential Breakout Failure (BOF) – Invalidated

Zone: VRZ High

BOF Setup Development

FINNIFTY initially approached the VRZ High and briefly showed signs of hesitation near the resistance zone. At first glance, the price action suggested the possibility of a Breakout Failure (BOF), where buyers could become trapped and trigger a downside reversal.

However, the expected rejection never developed.

Instead of slipping below the VRZ and confirming weakness, buyers continued defending higher prices. The index maintained acceptance above the resistance area and gradually resumed its upward momentum.

As a result, the potential BOF setup was invalidated before confirmation, and no short trade was triggered.

Market Participation

Many traders anticipated:


  • Resistance would hold.
  • Buyers would become trapped.
  • A BOF reversal could create a short-selling opportunity.

The market had different intentions.

As price sustained above the VRZ:


  • Buyers remained in control.
  • Selling pressure failed to increase.
  • The anticipated BOF structure disappeared.
  • Momentum shifted back in favor of the bulls.

The absence of rejection was itself valuable information.

Trading Insights

1. Every Rejection Does Not Become a BOF

Price must show acceptance back below the VRZ before a BOF can be confirmed.


2. Strong Acceptance Cancels the Setup

When the market comfortably holds above resistance, the bearish thesis loses validity.


3. Patience Protects Capital

Avoiding unconfirmed setups is often more valuable than forcing trades.


4. No Setup Is Also a Market Message

Sometimes the best trade is recognizing that conditions are not favorable and staying out.

Trader's Perspective

This session highlighted an important principle of BOF trading: potential is not confirmation. FINNIFTY briefly hinted at a failed breakout scenario but never developed the structure required for execution.

Professional traders wait for confirmation, avoid assumptions, and preserve capital when the market refuses to validate the setup.

Result

⚠️ Potential BOF Rejected | Setup Invalidated Before Entry | FINNIFTY (5-Minute Chart)

BOF Scanner App identified this setup at 10:00 am

VEDL
Metals & Minings
Success
VRZ High Intraday Jun 18, 2026
Vedanta (VEDL) Intraday Analysis | VRZ High Breakout Failure Creates High-Probability Short Trade
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Vedanta (VEDL) Intraday Analysis | VRZ High Breakout Failure Creates High-Probability Short Trade

Stock Name: Vedanta Ltd (VEDL)

Sector: Metals & Mining

Trade Type: Intraday

VRZ Marking Time Frame: 30 Minutes

Trading Time Frame: 5 Minutes

Setup Type: Breakout Failure (BOF) at VRZ High

Zone: VRZ High – ₹308.20

BOF Formation and Confirmation

VEDL approached the previously identified VRZ High at ₹308.20 and briefly traded above the resistance zone, creating the appearance of a bullish breakout.

At first glance, the move suggested that buyers had gained control and higher prices were likely. The breakout attracted momentum traders expecting further upside continuation.

However, the market failed to accept prices above the VRZ.

Instead of extending higher, sellers quickly absorbed the buying pressure and pushed the stock back below ₹308.20. Within a few candles, price slipped beneath the VRZ High and started establishing acceptance below the resistance zone.

This transition confirmed a classic Breakout Failure (BOF).

As the breakout failed, trapped buyers began exiting their positions while fresh sellers recognized the rejection of higher prices and entered the market. The combination of long unwinding and new selling participation generated a sharp intraday decline.

Market Psychology

Many traders assumed:


  • The breakout above resistance was genuine.
  • Buyers were firmly in control.
  • Higher prices were inevitable.

The market disagreed.

When price moved back below ₹308.20:


  • Breakout buyers started losing conviction.
  • Early longs rushed to exit positions.
  • Sellers recognized the failed breakout.
  • Momentum gradually shifted in favor of the bears.

This transition from bullish confidence to uncertainty became the fuel for the downside move.

Key Learnings

1. A Breakout Requires Acceptance

Trading above resistance is not enough. The market must sustain above that level.


2. Rejection at the VRZ Is Valuable Information

The quick move back below ₹308.20 revealed aggressive selling interest.


3. Failed Breakouts Often Move Faster

Trapped buyers and fresh sellers frequently create sharp downside moves.


4. Confirmation Beats Prediction

Waiting for BOF confirmation provided a significantly higher-probability short setup.

Trade Structure

Entry: Short position after confirmation that price moved back below and sustained beneath the VRZ High.

Stop Loss: Above the BOF rejection candle high.

Outcome: 1.78% Move

Risk-Reward: 1:7 RR


BOF Scanner App identified this setup at 09:25 am


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